Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Thu Jun 25 22:42:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, the bevy of polls today are pretty consistent with what you'd expect given a 9-10 point Biden lead nationally. But the big news is that MI, WI and PA are starting to poll closely in line with the national averages, instead of being R-leaning as in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So our averages are not *quite* as optimistic as Fox on Biden in the South. But keep in mind that many polls now (like these Fox News polls) were conducted among registered voters. Our averages make a likely voter adjustment to those, which helps Trump by ~1 point or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The relationship between the current rise in COVID cases and the partisanship of a state/city/county is much weaker and more complicated than the commentariat seems to assume. — PolitiTweet.org

We're all in this together. https://t.co/1oYKeKbWQK

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated