Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Thu Jun 25 19:56:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Notes: in the regression above, I'm specifying mask policy on a 4-point scale based on the chart in the first tweet. If you take the results at face value (which, maybe you shouldn't!) a strict mask policy would reduce R by around ~15% vs. no mask policy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may not be causal; mask policy may be a proxy for lots of other decisions that states take, i.e. their overall level of caution. Still, this is a stronger relationship than a lot of stuff I've looked at (mobility, restaurant reservations, partisanship, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 646 +1854† Yesterday: 722 One week ago (6/18): 693 Newly reported cases T: 42K* Y: 39K 6/18: 27K Newly reported tests T: 640K* Y: 512K 6/18: 518K Positive test rate T: 6.5% Y: 7.5% 6/18: 5.3% * Record — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated