Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Thu Jun 25 19:50:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may not be causal; mask policy may be a proxy for lots of other decisions that states take, i.e. their overall level of caution. Still, this is a stronger relationship than a lot of stuff I've looked at (mobility, restaurant reservations, partisanship, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you look at current R's and control for weather and the total number of people infected as of ~2 weeks ago (states that had bad outbreaks before are having fewer problems now), then you do see some apparent effects of mask policies. https://t.co/GeZt7UoUd2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Notes: in the regression above, I'm specifying mask policy on a 4-point scale based on the chart in the first tweet. If you take the results at face value (which, maybe you shouldn't!) a strict mask policy would reduce R by around ~15% vs. no mask policy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated