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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2020

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Wed Jun 24 22:37:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, I sort of think it's a tale of two countries. The numbers in the Northeastern US have looked an awful lot like Italy's or other European hotspots. And they have a lot in common re: density, climate, socioeconomic status & the degree of seroprevalence in the population. — PolitiTweet.org

Nicholas A. Christakis @NAChristakis

It’s one of the most fascinating things about this pandemic. People seem to want to believe that they will escape u… https://t.co/yjyCk9HL0M

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And yet, deaths were down week over week. I just don't know how long that'll last. Even under rather optimistic assumptions (say an IFR of 0.5% and we're now capturing ~1 in 3 cases instead of ~1 in 10) an additional 15-20K known cases per day is going to exert upward pressure. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's harder to know what to compare the US South/Southwest/West to and it probably varies state by state. But FWIW the trajectory there looks a lot like Latin America, which is generally having huge problems right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated