Nate Silver @NateSilver538
And yet, deaths were down week over week. I just don't know how long that'll last. Even under rather optimistic assumptions (say an IFR of 0.5% and we're now capturing ~1 in 3 cases instead of ~1 in 10) an additional 15-20K known cases per day is going to exert upward pressure. — PolitiTweet.org