Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Mon Jun 15 19:23:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our (soon-to-be-published) national polling average over time: March 1: Biden 49.7, Trump 45.6 (+4.1) Apri 1: Biden 49.2, Trump 43.1 (+6.1) May 1: Biden 49.5, Trump 43.4 (+6.1) June 1: Biden 49.2, Trump 42.9 (+6.3) June 15 (today): Biden 50.2, Trump 42.1 (+8.1) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: Here's how to read polls like a pro: https://t.co/Me2bceTvLh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So it's not like the race has actually swung *that* much. But 4 points vs. 8 points is sort of an inflection point where you go from "whoa, the Electoral College could still be close" to "whoa, Biden up everywhere". But things could easily enough swing back in Trump's direction. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated