Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Sat Jun 13 15:54:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @mattyglesias These averages contain a trendline adjustment (i.e. it adjusts old polls based on what's happening in national polls and polls of similar states). So stale isn't an issue per se. It's more just that there isn't a ton of recent polling in PA, so the estimate is a bit noisy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess one thing that really stands out here is that it doesn't take that much to go from a massive Biden Electoral College landslide (if he wins everywhere on the list below, that's 413 EV) to a narrow Biden loss (he's only ahead 3.7 points in the tipping-point state). — PolitiTweet.org

National: Biden +7.6 CO: Biden +15.6 ME: Biden +12.4 VA: Biden +9.5 MI: Biden +8.2 NE-2: Biden +7.4 NH: Biden +6.6… https://t.co/t1bObHzdt5

Posted June 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking Newly reported deaths Today: 695 Yesterday: 751 One week ago (6/6): 717 Newly reported cases T: 26K Y: 24K 6/6: 23K Newly reported tests T: 523K Y: 584K 6/6: 478K Positive test rate T: 5.0% Y: 4.1% 6/6: 4.7% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2020 Hibernated