Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Fri May 29 01:19:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Taniel I actually don't think that's totally crazy given the ages of the candidates and the terrible pandemic that we're living through. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meant AZ and WI rather than AZ and MI but the point holds. Political prediction markets are just super dumb with lots of obvious arbitrage opportunities. Maybe if they were more liquid/robust they'd be a bit better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Yeah in some ways they're the ultimate expression of the Dunning-Kruger effect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated