Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Fri May 29 01:13:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meant AZ and WI rather than AZ and MI but the point holds. Political prediction markets are just super dumb with lots of obvious arbitrage opportunities. Maybe if they were more liquid/robust they'd be a bit better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

None of this makes any sense. There's no world in which Biden is favored in AZ and MI but an underdog to Trump in the Electoral College overall. And Democrats being (barely) favored to win the Senate but not the presidency is also rather dubious. https://t.co/qpmkmQfImF https://t.co/Wo7xkDD3cb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Taniel I actually don't think that's totally crazy given the ages of the candidates and the terrible pandemic that we're living through. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated