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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

Created

Thu May 28 16:04:57 +0000 2020

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157

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16

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while I do think NY has managed the post-peak phase fairly well (the pre-peak phase is a very, very different story, to say the least) it's not quite an apples-to-apples comparison to places that weren't affected as badly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, 2 things can happen after a really bad outbreak: 1) People may be quite careful and good about social distancing 2) You reduce the susceptible population (models estimate ~15% of NYS / ~25% of NYC were infected). That does make some difference. https://t.co/BUgTzjndAc — PolitiTweet.org

Nick Riccardi @NickRiccardi

@NateSilver538 Is this a testament to NY's reaction or the fact that no other states hit the same height to slope d… https://t.co/jFk9KmuATQ

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Yeah, the list is going to be slightly biased toward battlegrounds since presidential voting is one of the criteria. But also, battlegrounds are often battlegrounds because they have demographics that resemble the country overall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated

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