Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Thu May 28 16:01:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, 2 things can happen after a really bad outbreak: 1) People may be quite careful and good about social distancing 2) You reduce the susceptible population (models estimate ~15% of NYS / ~25% of NYC were infected). That does make some difference. https://t.co/BUgTzjndAc — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Is this a testament to NY's reaction or the fact that no other states hit the same height to slope d… https://t.co/jFk9KmuATQ

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

New hospitalizations were greater than 3,000 per day at their peak in New York. So there's basically been a 20-fold reduction to 163 in the past 24 hours. Unfortunately, NY remains more the exception than the rule and other states haven't had such a steep slope downward (if any). — PolitiTweet.org

.⁦@NYGovCuomo⁩ says new hospitalizations from #Covid_19 were down to 163 in last 24 hours, down from day before. Th… https://t.co/YooQyXkqed

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while I do think NY has managed the post-peak phase fairly well (the pre-peak phase is a very, very different story, to say the least) it's not quite an apples-to-apples comparison to places that weren't affected as badly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2020 Hibernated