Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Mon May 25 16:37:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, because there are lags between policy and behavioral changes and the data, there's the risk of miscalculation. You think you're managing R to 1 but ... oops, turns out it's 1.5! The risk I worry most about comes in the fall if there are strong weather-related effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How could you get there? If states are willing to maintain enough social distancing to prevent R from being >1, but not more. So they'll try to prevent *increases*, but they'll tolerate plateaus. Some states (e.g. NY) explicitly have a policy of trying to keep R <=1, in fact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ABCPolitics: Black Americans and Latinos are nearly three times more likely to personally know someone who has died from coronavirus th… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Retweet Hibernated