Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Mon May 25 14:13:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whether a state is technically "open" doesn't seem to matter much in predicting driving mobility. I'd previously found the number of COVID deaths in a state was predictive (people staying home more in states with high per-capita death rates) but that effect seems to have faded. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What predicts mobility? Basically three things. Partisanship (people in Trump states moving more relative to their pre-COVID baseline), weather (people in states with a larger summer vs. winter temperature change moving more) and urbanization (people in rural states moving more). https://t.co/liW8TI2LDM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm uncertain about a lot of things re: what will happen in the US on COVID. But some of the models show the chance of a long plateau... i.e. once we get down to ~1,000 deaths/day, we might stay there for a while. That seems plausible to me. https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1 https://t.co/ZVlUvzdzJL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2020 Hibernated