Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

Created

Wed May 20 14:17:06 +0000 2020

Likes

187

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Keep in mind that pollsters actually *underestimated* Clinton in some states (e.g. CA, AZ) in 2016. And that there was little overall bias in 2018, with errors running in different directions in different states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Post 2016, it's likely that pollsters will spend more time scrutinizing practices that resulted in a D bias, while spending less time on those (say, not reaching enough Hispanics) that resulted in a GOP bias. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Put another way, after a polling "miss", there is the risk of under-compensation (you change nothing make the same mistakes as last time) or of overcompensation (you change things that were working fine and introduce bias in the other direction). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated