Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Tue May 19 22:21:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo @JamesSurowiecki @chrislhayes @SeanTrende @bwreed @guypbenson @RameshPonnuru I think that intuition is right, though it depends on how we're specifying the question. Interventions (masks, social distancing) can/should dampen differences in R that result from density and environmental factors, as should whatever reduction in susceptibility. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo @JamesSurowiecki @chrislhayes @SeanTrende @bwreed @guypbenson @RameshPonnuru I mean, it depends on what you mean by huge. If one city has an initial cluster on Feb. 20 with an R of 2.2, and another has an initial cluster on March 1 with an R of 1.7, those will produce hugely different results after a couple weeks (roughly 10-fold by March 15). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking Newly reported deaths Today: 1,430 Yesterday: 786 One week ago (5/12): 1,543 Newly reported cases T: 21K Y: 20K 5/12: 21K Newly reported tests T: 399K Y: 338K 5/12: 305K Positive test rate T: 5% Y: 6% 5/12: 7% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated