Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Sun May 17 18:46:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But it's a new disease! there's a lot we don't know! The experts are learning as they go! While there are some places where we should have relatively strong priors, in general experts need space to revise their conclusions and the media should be attentive to those revisions... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2. The next major category is not accounting enough for uncertainty. I actually think the experts have done a very good job of accounting for the major traits of COVID-19, especially if you (literally) read the fine print on what they were saying rather through the media filter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which means often reporting conclusions as provisional or "the best evidence available right now". It also means avoiding overly confident predictions and proclamations and avoiding the impulse to weave everything into a neatly-packaged narrative. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated