Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Sun May 17 18:40:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a lot of other quirks in reporting. The data is proceeded by humans; it doesn't appear automatically. Lags are unavoidable, but some data series are more lagging than others. Many places have "lumpy" data, i.e. they report data in batches rather than in a steady flow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

e.g. experts estimate that only ~10% of coronavirus *infections* have become detected *cases* in the US. So accounting for how well we're doing at detection (e.g. test volume) is very important. Deaths are also significantly underreported, more so in some contexts than others. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2. The next major category is not accounting enough for uncertainty. I actually think the experts have done a very good job of accounting for the major traits of COVID-19, especially if you (literally) read the fine print on what they were saying rather through the media filter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated