Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Tue May 12 21:51:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Folks, I don't have a prediction for what happens next. There are forces pulling in opposite directions (less distancing, but more masks, weather may matter, etc.) so the range of possibilities is wide. But the numbers HAVE gotten appreciably better over the past week or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Tuesdays are typically awful days as states work to clear weekend backlogs and can report a lot of cases and deaths. While 1,500 deaths in a day is indeed awful, it is better than the past 4 Tuesdays, where between 2,128 and 2,555 deaths were reported each time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah there are like 4 confounding issues: 1) "Opening" is often incremental (many things were never closed and only some of the closed things are opening) but is portrayed in the media as absolute 2) People's actual behavior is only loosely tied to a state's official policies — PolitiTweet.org

The coronavirus numbers in the US have taken a turn sharply for the better over the past week or two in a ways that… https://t.co/WQ3HLbtX9o

Posted May 12, 2020 Hibernated