Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Sun May 10 20:45:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The bad news: most places are *not* counting probable deaths. That means they have an undercount, often a big one, relative to the actual number of COVID-19 deaths. Confirmed deaths is a conservative estimate. This is *not* something worth debating. The evidence is clear. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lately, as the epidemic has slowed down in NYC, it has been able to get through the backlog of probable deaths at about the same rate that new probable deaths occur. So probable deaths have remained flat, while confirmed ones grow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The complicated news: because it takes a long time to count deaths, some of the newly-reported deaths we see each day likely occurred some time ago. Especially if they occurred in nursing homes or private homes. States are working to count/confirm deaths they missed before. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated