Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Sun May 10 15:00:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Herbert Hoover lost by "only" 17 points in a somewhat less partisan epoch than we have today (although the 1930s were decently partisan). — PolitiTweet.org

The fact that a generic Democrat isn't 30 points ahead of Trump in EVERY state demonstrates the abject failure of t… https://t.co/ruoZZkHBwK

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Good news, indeed, and deserves a signal-boost given how many times people re-tweeted scary headlines about "re-infection" and so forth. (Though, note that this doesn't say much either way about how long immunity lasts, just that it's very likely to exist in the short run.) — PolitiTweet.org

There had been concern that people with mild or asymptomatic cases of Covid-19 might not produce antibodies. Good n… https://t.co/dkgoFDZST4

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, worth remembering the uncertainty runs in both directions. If Biden leads by ~6 points now, that could easily turn into a 1-point popular vote "win" (= likely Trump Electoral College victory) or a 2-point loss. But it could also turn into a 12-point Biden win, or something. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated