Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Wed May 06 17:30:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo @interfluidity Yeah, I agree it's all very complicated. And none of the models seem to deal super well with what happens when people have been in lockdown and those lockdowns are relaxed, which could have further unpredictable effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo @interfluidity I think the broad intuition is also incorrect. Most models suggest heterogeneity *lowers* the nationwide herd immunity threshold, although there are fierce debates about whether this is a meaningful effect or a negligible one. https://t.co/VdTPR0CJ2C https://t.co/FzHLB4yLvx — PolitiTweet.org

3. Some people have raised concerns about whether a basic SIR model adequately captures the qualitative features an… https://t.co/UVBKYrAhPg

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser This data is from hospitals not just positive tests, I believe. But that might worsen the biases you describe, i.e. the older family member comes to the hospital because they have worse symptoms than the younger working family member. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated