Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

Created

Tue May 05 23:52:54 +0000 2020

Likes

1,104

Retweets

221

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another mistake is not understanding lags in the data. If someone gets infected, it will likely take ~2 weeks before they get symptoms, get tested, and the test shows up in the data. Yet many articles assume that cases will *instantly* rise when regulations are changed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One basic mistake is in not accounting for tests. If a state doubles its testing it is going to see far more cases. Many articles about big spikes don't even bother noting when they were caused by tests increasing. The math isn't hard. It's a basic failure to provide context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not a question of innumeracy because the math isn't complicated. It's more in the category of "too good to check", with not bothering to be rigorous when the surface (but perhaps misleading upon even mild scrutiny) interpretation of the data meets a certain narrative. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated