Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 23:49:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One basic mistake is in not accounting for tests. If a state doubles its testing it is going to see far more cases. Many articles about big spikes don't even bother noting when they were caused by tests increasing. The math isn't hard. It's a basic failure to provide context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I dunno, this feels like an excuse for the media to not even bother to aim for rigorousness when evaluating coronavirus numbers. And there are some fairly basic mistakes being made. — PolitiTweet.org

what’s gonna happen is no matter the deaths, high or low, any numbers will confirm all priors, all contra media wil… https://t.co/aLvg5QepdY

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another mistake is not understanding lags in the data. If someone gets infected, it will likely take ~2 weeks before they get symptoms, get tested, and the test shows up in the data. Yet many articles assume that cases will *instantly* rise when regulations are changed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated