Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 21:56:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Moreover, the correlation between changes in state policies and changes in the # of cases is liable to be noisy. There may/probably will be something there if you look rigorously. But for every case that fit the prevailing narrative, there may be others that contradict it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While it is possible that we will see some big spikes as a result of states re-opening, the base case is probably a continued mix of plateaus, mild declines and mild increases, perhaps in a slightly different/worse mix than before (i.e. some declines turn into plateaus). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I could be wrong. But the lessons if you've looked at the different states and countries is that the data is noisy and fairly unpredictable, and often only loosely matches media narratives about high-profile events (e.g. Florida beaches) and who's generally doing a good job. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated