Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 19:27:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2d) But it's also important to recognize that we've been a long way from an Lombardy or Wuhan-style lockdown where you'd see a rapid decline. A few places that are either *very* rural or may have built up some immunity have gotten a steep decline, but most places haven't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2c) So while you can squint and say the US isn't THAT different than Sweden (but maybe we're backing into being Sweden now?) the differences possibly span a critical threshold whereas their R is slightly >1 (by design, they want herd immunity!) and ours has been just *barely* <1. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) Comparisons to Sweden are becoming trickier now because they may have "succeeded" in building up immunity; the government says 30% have been infected at some point in Stockholm, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated