Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 19:15:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2b) The US, conversely, had been something like 3/4 of the way to an Italy-style lockdown. We allow pretty big carveouts for essential services, don't have many restrictions on outdoor activity, and a few parts of the country never formally locked down at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2) Sweden really is sort of 1/2 way in between a strict, Italy-style lockdown and the pre-COVID normal. It's important to recognize that they ARE doing a lot of distancing. But also, it DOES seem like there are fair numbers of people there going to restaurants, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2c) So while you can squint and say the US isn't THAT different than Sweden (but maybe we're backing into being Sweden now?) the differences possibly span a critical threshold whereas their R is slightly >1 (by design, they want herd immunity!) and ours has been just *barely* <1. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated