Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 14:50:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In Montana you still have household contacts and other close personal contacts, and those are the ones that likely matter the most. Incidental contacts vary a lot more, but they are only part of the picture and perhaps not the primary means of infection, especially post-lockdown. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's about what you get based on our urbanization index, which seems to fit the data pretty well. I think it's not the *number* of contacts above a certain threshold that matters so much as the *amount* of contact, which is a function of space X time. https://t.co/A3PMwQa5vJ — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Curious how you got to 50-100%. Commute alone seems like it could push that much higher, for mean if not median.

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This article literally doesn't mention how the amount of testing has increased by ~60% within in the past few weeks. That does make the situation particularly great, but it's context that can't be omitted in any discussion of cases increasing/decreasing. https://t.co/JUY0J4fFJc https://t.co/9H8M2qd8Xa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated