Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 21:51:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @FrankDGonzo @Luzius It's also worth thinking about whether there are correlations between the likelihood of acquiring COVID-19 and the likelihood of a severe outcome, conditional upon acquiring it. If so then the IFR and the hospitalization rate could change over time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The positive test rate continues to S L O W L Y decline but that's really a blend of a fairly clear decline in some places, and no decline (or an ↑) in others. It remains important to account for testing volume—otherwise you're basically punishing states for doing more testing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a weird comment, Eric, and not an accurate characterization of the interview w/IHME. People should listen for themselves. A lot of our questions are implicitly or explicitly critical. But it is an interview, not a critique (or an endorsement). https://t.co/6pGN4XOJcX — PolitiTweet.org

Why #COVID19 predictive models aren't working well (I'm adding that @WhiteHouse finally dropped @IHME_UW yesterday… https://t.co/ghjrnM8cOq

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated