Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 21:22:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The positive test rate continues to S L O W L Y decline but that's really a blend of a fairly clear decline in some places, and no decline (or an ↑) in others. It remains important to account for testing volume—otherwise you're basically punishing states for doing more testing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Unfortunately, I don't think anybody should necessarily feel too optimistic about the lower-than-usual number of reported deaths today, since reporting is often slower on weekends. Note that last Sunday was a slow day too but was then followed by 2K+ on Tues/Wed/Thurs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @FrankDGonzo @Luzius It's also worth thinking about whether there are correlations between the likelihood of acquiring COVID-19 and the likelihood of a severe outcome, conditional upon acquiring it. If so then the IFR and the hospitalization rate could change over time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated