Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 01:02:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnJHarwood @mattyglesias I would guess that it varies between 0.6 and 1.0 in states that are attempting social distancing. Mostly toward the higher end of that range (e.g. 0.85 or 0.9) as the states lower than about 0.8 usually have something unique going for them that may not be replicable elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias In some ways, we're in the most complicated scenario from a policy standpoint, which is NOT meant to be confused with the worst-case scenario. If social distancing worked super duper well (gets R to 0.5) or only mediocrely (R only down to 1.2) we'd have a clearer path to follow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnJHarwood @mattyglesias It's positive, yes, but it's not *much* below 1, which implies that you can't relax social distancing that much without it maybe going over 1. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated