Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 00:38:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias In some ways, we're in the most complicated scenario from a policy standpoint, which is NOT meant to be confused with the worst-case scenario. If social distancing worked super duper well (gets R to 0.5) or only mediocrely (R only down to 1.2) we'd have a clearer path to follow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias You could do an essay about how "flattening the curve" is similar to "Medicare for All" in this respect. I don't know if FTCers were deliberately tolerating ambiguity as a consensus-building strategy as some M4Aers were, but it meant different things to different people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnJHarwood @mattyglesias I would guess that it varies between 0.6 and 1.0 in states that are attempting social distancing. Mostly toward the higher end of that range (e.g. 0.85 or 0.9) as the states lower than about 0.8 usually have something unique going for them that may not be replicable elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated