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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 19:58:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2) However, it also increasingly seems that their numbers are leveling off, especially in Stockholm, which is what you would expect if 30% of the population has had it there (as their ambassador claims) providing some herd immunity. Here is their ICU data: https://t.co/I6cNalVUYL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Those comparisons matter more because lots of factors matter in death rates, not all of which reflect government policy. The Nordic/Scandinavian countries should be pretty comparable and will control for a number of those variables. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So... I think al their data is pretty compatible. First of all, one needs to be careful about comparing stocks (total number of people ever infected) and flows (number of people infected at any one time). So let's say the *flow* in Stockholm was 2.5% of people infected as of 4/1. — PolitiTweet.org

Justin Fox @foxjust

These projections that 30% of Stockholmers have already had the coronavirus are so strange. The government did rand… https://t.co/5vUfPN8Ut9

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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