Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 14:11:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In New York, about 2% of *infections* have resulted in hospitalizations, if you buy the state's (IMO relatively credible) serological data saying 15% of NYS / 25% of NYC got COVID-19 at some point. The rate is about the same in NYC and non-NYC parts of the state. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's room to ask whether hospitals have been too aggressive about delaying elective procedures, which can have serious health consequences. COVID-19 has been roughly as deadly as people feared. But, it has NOT resulted in as high a hospitalization rate as most projections. — PolitiTweet.org

This is stunning: Nearly half of the Q1 decline in GDP can be attributed to healthcare, which is presumably delayin… https://t.co/XIgcYJ5JXR

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By comparison, the Imperial College study projected a hospitalization rate of 4.4%. And that was on the low end of projections. The NYT/U. of Toronto model let you choose between 5% and 20%, which was a common range of assumptions at the time. https://t.co/dKv9t4i27C — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated