Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 21:51:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the cases, though, that data has started to look better. Tests up, cases down, so the percentage of positive tests is down quite a bit. A lot of this is driven by NY state, which is down to just 16% positives in its testing today (19% for NYC) from a peak of 50% (59% for NYC). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To me, the question is less about whether the death toll has hit an interim peak (possibly yes) but how slow the comedown will be (possibly quite slow, especially if states start easing up restrictions) and/or whether there will be another peak. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The following dynamic seems reasonably likely to me: Step 1) News articles emphasize dire predictions for reopening based on models that wrongly assume all restrictions are lifted and people go totally back to normal. https://t.co/uC32932Kwm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated