Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 17:22:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved I don't think many places apart from Sweden are treating herd immunity as inevitable. That is, they want to get the overall number of cases low enough that even if you spread at R=1.0/1.1 from there, it would take a long time and hopefully you get treatments/vaccines before then. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We do have better data now on what % of infections result in hospitalizations. That can help to design better policy, also. In NY (both NYC and Upstate) about 2% of *infections* (*not* known cases) have produced hospitalizations if you believe the state's seroprevalence numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Share of the population that has tested positive by NYC borough: Bronx: 2.5% Staten Island: 2.4% Queens: 2.2% Brooklyn: 1.7% Manhattan: 1.3% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated