Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 01:57:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ClaraJeffery It's not clear whether that would snuff it mostly out. Or it might snuff it *mostly* out, but far from *completely* out (with a large number of essential workers unable to socially distance) and it would start to increase again on July 2. It's genuinely a really hard problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think a lot of governors would tolerate that. It actually seems marginally optimistic, if anything. There's a lot of talk about opening up in places where death counts are currently higher on a per capita basis. That's still an additional 50K-70K deaths in the "plateau" phase. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People say "nobody actually called for intensive social distancing for 18 months until a vaccine is found" but that's exactly what the famous Imperial College report did call for. (Though it allowed for periodic breaks in social distancing.) https://t.co/0lITMpvxQH https://t.co/Q5BC83vGV3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated