Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Mon Apr 27 18:23:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On a typical day in NYC, something like 10% of newly-reported *confirmed* deaths actually occurred 2 or more weeks ago. I doubt NYC is alone in this regard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At appears that on average, it takes about 6 days for a death to occur before it shows up in the "confirmed" column. That's an average, though; there's a long tail of deaths they're counting that actually occurred weeks ago. Probable deaths can often catch these sooner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I have no idea what the pattern is here. It's not particularly correlated with how bad the outbreak was, either currently, or at its peak (if the country already peaked; some haven't). But it's interesting that the US is in the low-to-middle-end of the pack. — PolitiTweet.org

Share of public who said country should reopen even if virus isn't fully contained: 60% Russia 58% China 53% Italy… https://t.co/5dOWa1AB82

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated