Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Mon Apr 27 18:09:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The further back you go, the more likely a death is to be confirmed instead of probable. Around 80% of (confirmed + probable) deaths that occurred in March were confirmed, for instance. But only ~50% of deaths to occur in the past 5 days are confirmed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is interesting data from New York City, which has been i) tracking probable in addition to confirmed deaths and ii) tracking deaths on the date they think the death actually occurred, not when it shows up in their records. https://t.co/O1f8OmAlrI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At appears that on average, it takes about 6 days for a death to occur before it shows up in the "confirmed" column. That's an average, though; there's a long tail of deaths they're counting that actually occurred weeks ago. Probable deaths can often catch these sooner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated