Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Wed Apr 22 03:27:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CarlBialik @SethS_D As far as I can tell, there are at least three schools of thought on how R0 is used in practice, so I'm just saying R by which I mean "how fast it's spreading in practice". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Can you find some patterns here? Sure. Fortunately the states with the very worst outbreaks (NY, MI, LA) are getting better. Weather may be a factor. Density may matter. Some states that never issued stay-at-home orders are having issues. But it's weird & idiosyncratic data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a lot of well-intended and well-written critiques of the Santa Clara Co. serology study but at some point it's not that complicated. A test that *could* have a false positive rate of up to ~2-3% isn't saying very much if it detects 2-3% positives in some population. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated