Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Tue Apr 21 21:00:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Keep in mind the context here. Do NYC and Lombardy possibly have meaningful levels of herd immunity? Possibly (enough that it may show up in the data) but exactly how much is hard to say (probably far from complete). Think about how bad things had to be to get there, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Positive test rate by week in Lombardy, Italy Week ended 3/24: 47.9% 3/31: 33.0% 4/7: 20.4% 4/14: 16.2% 4/21: 10.6% Positive test rate by week in rest of Italy Week ended 3/24: 17.5% 3/31: 16.0% 4/7: 14.0% 4/14: 11.8% 4/21: 9.9% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking. Newly-reported deaths: Today: 2,674 (new high) Yesterday: 1,528 One week ago (4/14): 2,299 Newly-reported cases: T: 27K Y: 23K 4/14: 26K Newly-reported tests: T: 152K Y: 138K 4/14: 147K Share of tests positive: T: 18% Y: 17% 4/14: 18% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated