Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Tue Apr 21 15:17:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, all of those qualifiers I put at the top are important: "wealthy Western countries with bad outbreaks of COVID-19". That's where these numbers, at least the ones that are getting highlighted in the media, mostly come from. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plus, jurisdictions can vary in how thorough they are. France has done an admirable job of trying to count nursing home deaths, for instance. And if a place *is* trying to count probable deaths, as in NYC, there's going to be considerably less undercounting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd be especially careful about making inferences outside of that narrow band of countries/places. There is possibly less undercounting in wealthy Western places with *mild* outbreaks (e.g. Canada, Utah) because their medical and record-keeping systems are less overwhelmed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated