Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Mon Apr 20 21:24:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo Did 50% of NYC get COVID at some point? I'd bet against it, but it's not crazy to think the numbers could be pretty high. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo People getting tested is a biased sample, but FWIW NYC's tests were ~60%+ at the peak. Also, these tests can have high-ish false negatives. And, people who get the disease will only test positive for a few weeks whereas antibody tests will pick up on whether they ever had it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo The rate actually has begun to decelerate pretty quickly in NYC and the dynamics of what you'd expect to see happen given various infection rates are fairly complicated given different R0s among different subgroups, as you mention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated