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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 2, 2020

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Sat Apr 18 14:30:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This seems like an under-discussed point re: reopening. You probably want to get the overall caseload down by keeping strict-ish current measures in place longer, so that if cases start growing again (or even remain flat, i.e. an R around ~1) it's from a lower baseline. — PolitiTweet.org

Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape

This is one of the big dangers in easing restrictions too early: Since there are still a significant number of infe… https://t.co/ZBt97mvGpQ

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Testing capacity probably varies by something like 10x across different major Western countries. It also probably varies by something like 3x-5x across different US states. So you could easily have some places that are detecting 1.5% of their infections, and some that detect 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Political support and overall tolerance for social distancing is also fairly high now. It may not always be. So that may be another argument for "keep doing it now, while you can, recognizing that it may not be as feasible to maintain this in the long run." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated