Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 2, 2020

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Sat Apr 18 13:50:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, here's one fairly explicit comparison to the polling world. It's usually going to be better to do a meta-analysis of all studies, including thinking about biases that could systematically affect all of them, than to spend a huge amount of energy picking apart any one study. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Seems like the optimism and pessimism biases on Coronavirus Twitter are roughly in balance right now. This condition probably will not hold, though. Possible the mood has shifted from too-pessimistic to too-optimistic when the evidence hasn't really changed that much. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are at least ~a dozen studies already that attempt to measure seroprevalence (how many people were infected) for COVID-19 in various parts of the world. Will likely be dozens more in a few weeks. I'm seeing analysis of e.g. the Santa Clara Co study that take it in a vacuum. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated