Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 2, 2020

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Thu Apr 16 23:05:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, maybe this is a poorly-framed question. But I have learned to be skeptical of "clinical trial shows promising results!" headlines. What would experts say the benchmarks are for something they'd actually consider to be a development worth getting excited about? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But not on No. 2. There have been days when there were fewer deaths than the previous day. But these may reflect day-of-week effects. Not yet any days when there were fewer deaths than 7 days ago. Once that happens a few times, that's when we can start asking if there's a peak. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The days when they were like "nothing to worry about, but maybe you should avoid the subways!" were the most worrying days of all. — PolitiTweet.org

De Blasio claims he said 'early on' to avoid NYC mass transit https://t.co/byd2QJSDKE https://t.co/LVJYaAjiG2

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated