Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Thu Apr 16 22:46:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The milestones I'm mostly looking at are: 1) Are there fewer cases (and/or a lower share of positives) than the same day a week ago? 2) Are there fewer deaths than the same day a week ago? For question No. 1, the answer is increasingly *yes*. Which is good news. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Daily US numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly-reported deaths: Today: 2,136 Yesterday: 2,492 One Week Ago (4/9): 1,877 Newly-reported cases: T: 31K Y: 30K 4/9: 34K Newly-reported tests: T: 158K Y: 161K 4/9: 163K Share of tests positive: T: 19% Y: 19% 4/9: 21% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But not on No. 2. There have been days when there were fewer deaths than the previous day. But these may reflect day-of-week effects. Not yet any days when there were fewer deaths than 7 days ago. Once that happens a few times, that's when we can start asking if there's a peak. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated