Profile Image

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated Yes
Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

Created

Wed Apr 15 16:07:11 +0000 2020

Likes

506

Retweets

75

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The discussion about weather is sort of like the discussion about masks. People are looking for incontrovertible proof when a reasonably high probability (that masks help; that warmer weather reduces spread) is probably enough to help guide our actions. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

This has been @NateSilver538’s beat, but I keep reading articles that have headlines like “don’t count on warm weat… https://t.co/GcD7CUFVts

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The consensus has seemed to be that around 1 in 10 infections are detected in the US, in which case the true hospitalization rate would be around 1.7%. But there is much disagreement about how much undercounting there is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These are complicated questions. It doesn't mean "you can always work off probabilities". Sometimes, you probably do want something closer to "proof", both in terms of how you communicate about something and in terms of implementing policy recommendations. It's case-specific. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated