Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 26, 2020

Created

Wed Apr 15 14:00:07 +0000 2020

Likes

1,209

Retweets

241

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thread. It looks like the IHME model is fond of drawing curves that are quite symmetric, i.e. they expect deaths to fall about as fast as they expect them to rise. There's no particular reason to expect this, empirically or theoretically, however. — PolitiTweet.org

29. Now that you know what to look for, you can see the same thing happening in the New York projections. https://t.co/KR2PJOwhV1

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Right, and it all gets very complicated because there are not just political but also epidemiological tipping points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Instead, we're seeing signs of asymmetry. In New York, things do look like they're getting noticeably better, but they're not getting better as quickly as they're got worse. Same in Italy; there's a decline in deaths, but it's not particularly symmetric. Spain is more ambiguous. https://t.co/D6B0cGr8Pu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated