Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Wed Apr 08 19:17:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Optimism about the short-term situation (i.e. that the curve is leveling off) does not necessarily translate into optimism about the long-term situation, because the reason the curve is bending downward is social distancing and we don't rally have a plan for the next phase yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a comparison of the rate of positive tests on 3/31 versus 4/7. NY outside NYC: 44.9 / 38.0 (-6.8) within NYC: 58.7 / 46.6 (-12.1) Bronx: 60.2 / 49.9 (-10.3) Brooklyn: 59.6 / 46.1 (-13.4) Manhattan: 49.0 / 39.1 (-9.8) Queens: 64.7 / 44.8 (-15.9) S.I.: 48.5 / 43.3 (-5.3) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just as you shouldn't declare a turnaround based on a couple of days' worth of data, you should also be wary of declaring a resurgence/new outbreak based on a couple days' worth of data. Daily case counts can be quirky, especially in places with a low overall number of cases. — PolitiTweet.org

Terrible news from Singapore: second wave is picking up steam. 142 new cases today and reimposition of full lockdow… https://t.co/34k6j2h7ys

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated