Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Wed Apr 08 18:56:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a comparison of the rate of positive tests on 3/31 versus 4/7. NY outside NYC: 44.9 / 38.0 (-6.8) within NYC: 58.7 / 46.6 (-12.1) Bronx: 60.2 / 49.9 (-10.3) Brooklyn: 59.6 / 46.1 (-13.4) Manhattan: 49.0 / 39.1 (-9.8) Queens: 64.7 / 44.8 (-15.9) S.I.: 48.5 / 43.3 (-5.3) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It looks like the decline in the rate of positive tests in New York State is primarily because of New York City. That is, positive tests (as a share of all tests) are declining faster in NYC than outside of it. https://t.co/MtU6toy8TO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Optimism about the short-term situation (i.e. that the curve is leveling off) does not necessarily translate into optimism about the long-term situation, because the reason the curve is bending downward is social distancing and we don't rally have a plan for the next phase yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated